Reconstruction of Zika Virus Introduction in Brazil

Emerg Infect Dis. 2017 Jan;23(1):91-94. doi: 10.3201/eid2301.161274. Epub 2017 Jan 15.

Abstract

We estimated the speed of Zika virus introduction in Brazil by using confirmed cases at the municipal level. Our models indicate a southward pattern of introduction starting from the northeastern coast and a pattern of movement toward the western border with an average speed of spread of 42 km/day or 15,367 km/year.

Keywords: Brazil; Zika; Zika viruses; epidemics; introduction; modeling; spatial analysis; speed; viruses.

MeSH terms

  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • Disease Outbreaks*
  • Epidemiological Monitoring
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Seasons
  • Zika Virus / pathogenicity
  • Zika Virus / physiology*
  • Zika Virus Infection / epidemiology*
  • Zika Virus Infection / transmission*
  • Zika Virus Infection / virology