Background: The relationship between antiretroviral therapy (ART) response and early mortality after ART initiation is unknown. We hypothesized that early mortality is associated with decreased early immunologic response to ART.
Methods: We prospectively determined the association between changes in plasma human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA and CD4(+) T-cell counts (CD4 count) after 4 weeks of ART and early mortality in adults with pulmonary tuberculosis and pre-ART CD4 counts ≤ 125 cells/µL. Purified protein derivative (PPD)-specific immune recovery was determined by interferon-γ enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot assays. Levels of interleukin 6, C-reactive protein, and soluble CD14 were assessed. Patients with CD4 count and viral load values at baseline and week 4 were analyzed using multiple logistic regression.
Results: Early immunologic response, but not pre-ART CD4 counts or virologic response, was related to early mortality (8 [interquartile range {IQR}, -18 to 43] vs 68 [IQR, 24-131] cells/µL, P = .002). In a logistic regression model, every 20 cells/µL increase in the CD4 count from baseline to week 4 was independently associated with a 40% reduction in the odds of death (odds ratio, 0.59 [95% confidence interval, .41-.87]). PPD-specific immune recovery was lower, whereas levels of immune activation were higher, among deaths.
Conclusions: Early immunologic failure despite virologic suppression is associated with early mortality after ART initiation in advanced HIV/tuberculosis.
Keywords: CD4 counts; HIV/AIDS; antiretroviral therapy; early mortality; immune activation; immune recovery; pathogen-specific immune recovery; sub-Saharan Africa; tuberculosis.